2016 Pittsburgh Steelers Schedule: Full Listing of Dates, Times and TV Info | News, Scores, Highlights, Stats, and Rumors
Mia Horton The Pittsburgh Steelers reasonably enter 2016 with their eyes on a deep playoff run. Aside from the ever-competitive New England Patriots, nearly every other AFC contender is noticeably worse than its 2015 counterpart.
You can see the through line here. The Steelers have one of the NFL's best quarterbacks in Ben Roethlisberger, perhaps its best all-around running back in Le'Veon Bell and arguably the best wide receiver in Antonio Brown.
They made the playoffs last season despite each of those players suffering injuries at inopportune times. A season-long suspension to Martavis Bryant puts Pittsburgh at a disadvantage already heading into 2016, but the team has its fingers crossed second-year wideout Sammie Coates can step in as a deep threat.
Rebuilding the defense has been a work in progress, but head coach Mike Tomlin and Co. made major progress in 2015. A year after finishing 30th in Football Outsiders' DVOA metric (defense-adjusted value over average), the Steelers moved all the way up to 11th. Another slight uptick and they could have a top-10 unit on both sides of the ball—something that would put them squarely in the Super Bowl hunt.
With the leaguewide schedules released Thursday, let's take a look at how realistic Pittsburgh's Lombardi Trophy expectations are.
Schedule
| 1 | Sept. 12 | at Washington | 7:10 p.m. | ESPN |
| 2 | Sept. 18 | Cincinnati Bengals | 1 p.m. | CBS |
| 3 | Sept. 25 | at Philadelphia Eagles | 4:25 p.m. | CBS |
| 4 | Oct. 2 | Kansas City Chiefs | 8:30 p.m. | NBC |
| 5 | Oct. 9 | New York Jets | 1 p.m. | CBS |
| 6 | Oct. 16 | at Miami Dolphins | 1 p.m. | CBS |
| 7 | Oct. 23 | New England Patriots | 4:25 p.m. | CBS |
| 8 | Bye | |||
| 9 | Nov. 6 | at Baltimore Ravens | 1 p.m. | CBS |
| 10 | Nov. 13 | Dallas Cowboys | 4:25 p.m. | Fox |
| 11 | Nov. 20 | at Cleveland Browns | 1 p.m. | CBS |
| 12 | Nov. 24 | at Indianapolis Colts | 8:30 p.m. | NBC |
| 13 | Dec. 4 | New York Giants | 4:25 p.m. | Fox |
| 14 | Dec. 11 | at Buffalo Bills | 1 p.m. | CBS |
| 15 | Dec. 18 | at Cincinnati Bengals | 8:30 p.m. | NBC |
| 16 | Dec. 25 | Baltimore Ravens | 4:30 p.m. | NFL Network |
| 17 | Jan. 1 | Cleveland Browns | 1 p.m. | CBS |
| NFL.com | ||||
Analysis
Stating the obvious: The Steelers got some fortuitous bounces when it comes to their home-road splits. Their two most difficult nondivisional games (Patriots, Chiefs) come at Heinz Field. Depending on where your power rankings sit in the trio of the New York Jets, Indianapolis Colts and Buffalo Bills, their three most difficult contests could come at home.
From a record standpoint, the Steelers are tied for the NFL's 23rd-toughest schedule, per CBSSports.com's John Breech. Among 2015 playoff teams, only the Green Bay Packers and Bengals have an easier road. Year-to-year record isn't always the best indicator of schedule strength—guys like Bill Barnwell at ESPN have long used Pythagorean expectation—but even a subjective look is promising to Pittsburgh.
The Steelers, by my count, will be favored in at least seven of their eight home games and up to half of their road contests. Things change situationally—who would have thought the Baltimore Ravens would be a dumpster fire last season?—but that should only benefit the Steelers.
Few scenarios outside of injury paint any scenario where they'd be an underdog in more than one or two home games. If things break the right way, they could be a road favorite or pick'em in up to six of their games.
Most of this assumes Le'Veon Bell returns to form. Bell was limited to just six games in 2015 thanks to an NFL suspension and a torn MCL. He'd emerged in 2014 as one of the NFL's most uniquely talented backs, combining a bruising, throwback running style with surprisingly soft hands out of the backfield. After watching him trounce Big Ten defenses for years without being involved in the passing game, the 83 grabs he put up in 2014 were a major surprise.
The Steelers were using him at a similar rate in 2015, albeit less effectively. Bell averaged just 5.7 yards per reception last season, but it's worth noting that Michael Vick and Landry Jones were under center for four of his six appearances.
The band's being back together in 2016 is what makes the Steelers so dangerous.
Pivotal Matchups
The key to winning the AFC North always begins in the division. Thirteen of the 14 North winners since 2002's division realignment have been the team with the best divisional record. The Bengals were 5-1 last season before falling to Pittsburgh in the most laughable way in their wild-card matchup.
Returning to the winner's circle in 2015 starts with Cincinnati. The Bengals are understandably bitter after their playoff ouster last season, fashioning themselves a Super Bowl contender. They looked that way before Andy Dalton went out with a season-ending injury, but the signal-caller's largely clean injury history means it's more likely than not he's on the field for all 16 in 2016.
Both of the Steelers' wins over Cincinnati came with Dalton on the sideline. Beating the Bengals with their franchise quarterback in the lineup will go a long way toward deciding the division.
At least on paper, the Ravens also expect a return to playoff contention this season. Their 5-11 record last campaign was the result of historic bad luck and injury issues. No team played more contests decided by one score, and they were 5-9 in such games. Those tend to be 50-50 endeavors in a macro sense, so even a 7-7 record for those contests would return Baltimore to respectability.
With quarterback Joe Flacco, wideout Steve Smith Sr., running back Justin Forsett and others returning from injury-riddled campaigns, a return to .500 for the season seems like a bare-minimum expectation.
If the Steelers wind up taking the North, their Week 7 matchup with New England could pay huge dividends in deciding home-field advantage. The Patriots are a yearly fixture in the discussion, and playing them at Heinz Field gives Pittsburgh a leg up.
As it stands, the Steelers are an 11-5 team with a chance to go 12-4 or 13-3 if things break the right way. Look for a third straight playoff appearance regardless.